Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Sporting Lagos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.06
No
66%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.1pp
37%
Draw
27%
+10.6pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-1.5pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
28%
+5.1pp
66%
BTTS No
72%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Lagos EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Sporting Lagos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes edged past Sporting Lagos 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Sporting Lagos?

Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Sporting Lagos in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Sporting Lagos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 51%, draw 37%, Sporting Lagos 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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