Doma United 0-1 Shooting Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.27
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
3.73
No
68%
1.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
75%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
32%
BTTS Yes
23%
+8.8pp
68%
BTTS No
77%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doma United EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Doma United vs Shooting Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars squeezed past Doma United 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Doma United carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Doma United vs Shooting Stars?

Doma United 0-1 Shooting Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doma United vs Shooting Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doma United win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Doma United 67%, draw 21%, Shooting Stars 12%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Doma United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doma United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
13 Mar 2024
16:00 Plateau United vs Gombe United Analysis →
18:00 Niger Tornadoes vs Sporting Lagos Analysis →
18:00 Sunshine Stars vs Katsina United Analysis →
18:00 Akwa United vs Bendel Insurance Analysis →
18:00 Heartland vs Abia Warriors Analysis →
18:00 Remo Stars vs Enyimba Analysis →