Sunshine Stars 1-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Mar 2024

Sunshine Stars
1-0 HT 1-0
Katsina United
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Sunshine Stars vs Katsina United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.95
No
75%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.3pp
25%
BTTS Yes
30%
-4.9pp
75%
BTTS No
70%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Stars v Katsina United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.48/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.59
-7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sunshine Stars vs Katsina United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Stars
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
21.07.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
07.03.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
18.03.2020 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-2 HT 0-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Stars vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Stars nicked a narrow win over Katsina United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sunshine Stars as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (75%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katsina United led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sunshine Stars and 0.67 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Sunshine Stars vs Katsina United?

Sunshine Stars 1-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Stars vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Stars 56%, draw 28%, Katsina United 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunshine Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunshine Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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