FCSB 1-1 Petrolul 52 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.32/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.83
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Petrolul 52
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.06 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
28.10.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 2-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
02.03.2023 FCSB FCSB 4-1 HT 2-1 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
09.10.2022 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 0-2 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-1
AWAY Petrolul 52
0.36 xG 0.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
265 Passes 347
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Petrolul 52
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB and Petrolul 52 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FCSB had 45% of the ball to Petrolul 52's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.36 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for FCSB and 0.75 for Petrolul 52.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Petrolul 52?

FCSB 1-1 Petrolul 52 in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Petrolul 52?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FCSB 54%, draw 26%, Petrolul 52 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FCSB), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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