KFC Komarno 2-1 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFC Komarno EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 20.3
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFC Komarno
2-1
AWAY Trencin
0.73 xG 1.53
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
186 Passes 445
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KFC Komarno vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFC Komarno nicked a narrow win over Trencin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trencin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KFC Komarno had 35% of the ball to Trencin's 65%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.73 to 1.53 — on chances, Trencin could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of KFC Komarno vs Trencin?

KFC Komarno 2-1 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFC Komarno vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KFC Komarno 31%, draw 28%, Trencin 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trencin), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trencin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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