Skalica 1-3 Dunajska Streda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 32% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skalica EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.05/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.88
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
11.8 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skalica
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Dunajska Streda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.65 xG 1.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 397
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 0-0 Skalica Skalica SLVK
23.09.2023 Skalica Skalica 0-1 HT 0-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
25.02.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 2-1 HT 0-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
10.09.2022 Skalica Skalica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skalica
1-3
AWAY Dunajska Streda
0.85 xG 1.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
283 Passes 369
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skalica vs Dunajska Streda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda beat Skalica 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Skalica had 46% of the ball to Dunajska Streda's 54%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Skalica and 1.25 for Dunajska Streda.

What was the final score of Skalica vs Dunajska Streda?

Skalica 1-3 Dunajska Streda in the Slovakia Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skalica vs Dunajska Streda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Skalica 27%, draw 26%, Dunajska Streda 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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