Bucaspor 1928 3-1 Diyarbekir Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.3pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.69/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.71
-8% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucaspor 1928
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
17.12.2022 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 4-0 HT 2-0 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucaspor 1928
3-1
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor
72% Ball Possession 28%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bucaspor 1928 vs Diyarbekir Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 beat Diyarbekir Spor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bucaspor 1928 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucaspor 1928 had 72% of the ball to Diyarbekir Spor's 28%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bucaspor 1928 and 0.00 for Diyarbekir Spor.

What was the final score of Bucaspor 1928 vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Bucaspor 1928 3-1 Diyarbekir Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucaspor 1928 vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bucaspor 1928 58%, draw 24%, Diyarbekir Spor 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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