Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Galatasaray
TSL
3-0
HT 1-0
Fenerbahçe
TSL
0-3
HT 0-1
Galatasaray
TSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Galatasaray
TSL
1-2
HT 1-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics
Galatasaray beat Fenerbahçe 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Galatasaray found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 56% of the ball to Galatasaray's 44%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 3.00 to 1.39 — on chances, Fenerbahçe could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.17 for Galatasaray.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray?
Fenerbahçe 1-3 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Galatasaray?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 40%, draw 30%, Galatasaray 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.