Sporting CP U23 1-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.30/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+47% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-4 HT 0-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
1-0
AWAY Estrela U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 nicked a narrow win over Estrela U23 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 47% of the ball to Estrela U23's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 0.50 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela U23?

Sporting CP U23 1-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 51%, draw 21%, Estrela U23 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ BTTS No
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