Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
26%
+13.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.96/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.20
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
21.05.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-1 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
23.04.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
28.10.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-5 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
29.07.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
05.05.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
31.03.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 3-1 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0-1
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv edged past Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Karpaty Lviv made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karpaty Lviv led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.83 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Karpaty Lviv?

Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 39%, draw 24%, Karpaty Lviv 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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