Oleksandria 2-0 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-16.2pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.88/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.36
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 1-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
06.11.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
11.05.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 1-1 HT 1-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
04.03.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-2 HT 1-1 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
20.11.2021 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 3-1 HT 3-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
08.03.2021 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria beat Livyi Bereh 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livyi Bereh led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Oleksandria and 1.17 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Livyi Bereh?

Oleksandria 2-0 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 47%, draw 30%, Livyi Bereh 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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