Binh Duong 1-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.39/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.28
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Duong
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 3-1 HT 2-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
04.11.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
04.02.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
19.10.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-1 HT 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
13.03.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-2 HT 1-2 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
20.03.2021 Binh Duong Binh Duong 0-1 HT 0-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Duong
1-1
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Binh Duong vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Duong and Xi Mang Hai Phong shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Binh Duong at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Binh Duong had 44% of the ball to Xi Mang Hai Phong's 56%, shots finished 5-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Binh Duong and 1.67 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Binh Duong vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Binh Duong 1-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Duong vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Duong win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Binh Duong 42%, draw 26%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Binh Duong), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Binh Duong) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
21 Sep 2024
13:00 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Song Lam Nghe An Analysis →