Changchun Xidu 1-1 Chengdu Rongcheng II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun Xidu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Rongcheng II EU Bookmakers 40%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun Xidu
1-1
AWAY Chengdu Rongcheng II
1.96 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
205 Passes 277
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Changchun Xidu vs Chengdu Rongcheng II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun Xidu and Chengdu Rongcheng II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Changchun Xidu had 46% of the ball to Chengdu Rongcheng II's 54%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.96 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Changchun Xidu vs Chengdu Rongcheng II?

Changchun Xidu 1-1 Chengdu Rongcheng II in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun Xidu vs Chengdu Rongcheng II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun Xidu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Changchun Xidu 36%, draw 34%, Chengdu Rongcheng II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Changchun Xidu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun Xidu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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