BIT Beijing 3-2 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 24%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.99/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.85
-34% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
28.0 Crosses 11.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BIT Beijing
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hainan Star
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
202 Passes 140
62% Pass Accuracy 52%
22 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing 0-1 HT 0-0 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
25.09.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 1-2 HT 1-0 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BIT Beijing
3-2
AWAY Hainan Star
1.36 xG 0.99
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
91 Passes 346
46% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BIT Beijing edged past Hainan Star 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BIT Beijing as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BIT Beijing had 31% of the ball to Hainan Star's 69%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BIT Beijing and 1.00 for Hainan Star.

What was the final score of BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star?

BIT Beijing 3-2 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated a BIT Beijing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BIT Beijing 43%, draw 31%, Hainan Star 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BIT Beijing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BIT Beijing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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