BIT Beijing 0-1 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.5pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.77/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.22
-53% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -62%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
234 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
24.3 Crosses 19.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BIT Beijing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hainan Star
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
193 Passes 155
67% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 1-2 HT 1-0 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BIT Beijing
0-1
AWAY Hainan Star
0.35 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
212 Passes 124
58% Pass Accuracy 47%
18 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star nicked a narrow win over BIT Beijing 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hainan Star found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BIT Beijing had 58% of the ball to Hainan Star's 42%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.35 to 1.39.

What was the final score of BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star?

BIT Beijing 0-1 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BIT Beijing 31%, draw 29%, Hainan Star 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hainan Star), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
12 Oct 2024
10:00 Rizhao Yuqi vs Ganzhou Ruishi Analysis →
10:00 Yichun Grand Tiger vs Taian Tiankuang Analysis →
10:00 Guangxi Lanhang vs Xian Ronghai Analysis →
10:00 Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar Analysis →
14:30 Yunnan Yukun vs Suzhou Dongwu Analysis →
14:30 Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang Analysis →