Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 33% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 45%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.09/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.58
-38% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
14.0 Crosses 22.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
215 Passes 244
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-2 HT 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 33%, draw 25%, Liaoning Shenyang 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
12 Oct 2024
10:00 Rizhao Yuqi vs Ganzhou Ruishi Analysis →
10:00 BIT Beijing vs Hainan Star Analysis →
10:00 Yichun Grand Tiger vs Taian Tiankuang Analysis →
10:00 Guangxi Lanhang vs Xian Ronghai Analysis →
10:00 Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar Analysis →
14:30 Yunnan Yukun vs Suzhou Dongwu Analysis →