Quanzhou Yassin 2-1 Hubei Istar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.47
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
37%
-9.6pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quanzhou Yassin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
0.76/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.41
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.0 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quanzhou Yassin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hubei Istar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.80 xG 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
221 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar 4-1 HT 2-1 Quanzhou Yassin Quanzhou Yassin ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quanzhou Yassin
2-1
AWAY Hubei Istar
0.71 xG 0.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
177 Passes 279
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quanzhou Yassin squeezed past Hubei Istar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (27% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; Quanzhou Yassin found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Quanzhou Yassin had 42% of the ball to Hubei Istar's 58%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.71 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar?

Quanzhou Yassin 2-1 Hubei Istar in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hubei Istar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quanzhou Yassin 27%, draw 36%, Hubei Istar 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hubei Istar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hubei Istar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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