Yunnan Yukun 3-0 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.21/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
+50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.0 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.06 xG 0.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
393 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 HT 0-0 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
3-0
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.54 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
237 Passes 150
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun swept aside Suzhou Dongwu 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 57% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 43%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.54 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Yunnan Yukun 3-0 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 50%, draw 28%, Suzhou Dongwu 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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