Rizhao Yuqi 3-1 Ganzhou Ruishi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rizhao Yuqi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.80/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.78
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
16.0 Crosses 17.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rizhao Yuqi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 378
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2024 Ganzhou Ruishi Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 HT 1-1 Rizhao Yuqi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rizhao Yuqi
3-1
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi
2.91 xG 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 0
255 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rizhao Yuqi vs Ganzhou Ruishi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rizhao Yuqi beat Ganzhou Ruishi 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Rizhao Yuqi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rizhao Yuqi had 39% of the ball to Ganzhou Ruishi's 61%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.91 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Rizhao Yuqi vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Rizhao Yuqi 3-1 Ganzhou Ruishi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rizhao Yuqi vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rizhao Yuqi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rizhao Yuqi 40%, draw 34%, Ganzhou Ruishi 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rizhao Yuqi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rizhao Yuqi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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