Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 Rizhao Yuqi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.68
Over 2.5
32%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+12.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-12.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.6pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.37/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.51
-27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.0 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi
1-1
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi
0.39 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 298
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ganzhou Ruishi vs Rizhao Yuqi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ganzhou Ruishi and Rizhao Yuqi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ganzhou Ruishi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Ganzhou Ruishi had 54% of the ball to Rizhao Yuqi's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.39 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Ganzhou Ruishi vs Rizhao Yuqi?

Ganzhou Ruishi 1-1 Rizhao Yuqi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ganzhou Ruishi vs Rizhao Yuqi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ganzhou Ruishi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ganzhou Ruishi 44%, draw 28%, Rizhao Yuqi 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ganzhou Ruishi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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