Yanbian Longding 2-2 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.03
No
66%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.13
6+ Goals
6%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 36% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
45%
-11.4pp
66%
BTTS No
55%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 61%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.90/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.42
+29% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +71%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.3 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.54 xG 0.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
309 Passes 184
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 2-0 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
2-2
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
0.78 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
397 Passes 374
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding and Dalian Zhixing shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Dalian Zhixing at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 52% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 48%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.78 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing?

Yanbian Longding 2-2 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 31%, draw 23%, Dalian Zhixing 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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