Wuxi Wugou 1-4 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 33% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 54%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.64
+21% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
15.9 Crosses 18.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
168 Passes 285
58% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1 HT 1-1 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
09.10.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 1-2 HT 0-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 1-1 HT 0-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
1-4
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
0.78 xG 2.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
165 Passes 359
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande cruised past Wuxi Wugou 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guangzhou Evergrande as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 37% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 63%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.78 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 1.33 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Wuxi Wugou 1-4 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 21%, draw 29%, Guangzhou Evergrande 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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