Suzhou Dongwu 2-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 31% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.41
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.4 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
212 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-2 HT 1-2 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
20.08.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
20.09.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
03.09.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
24.09.2021 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
07.09.2021 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
2-1
AWAY Nanjing City
1.70 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
291 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu edged past Nanjing City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Suzhou Dongwu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 49% of the ball to Nanjing City's 51%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.70 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.17 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?

Suzhou Dongwu 2-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 42%, draw 26%, Nanjing City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
8 Sep 2024
11:00 Langfang Glory City vs Shenzhen Juniors Analysis →
11:00 Shanghai Port II vs Shandong Taishan II Analysis →
12:30 Ganzhou Ruishi vs Rizhao Yuqi Analysis →
14:00 Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Zhixing Analysis →
14:30 Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou Evergrande Analysis →
14:30 Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi Analysis →