Nacka Iliria 0-1 Falu BS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Falu BS EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.39/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.49
+24% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Falu BS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.03.2025 Falu BS 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Falu BS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falu BS nicked a narrow win over Nacka Iliria 1-0 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Falu BS?

Nacka Iliria 0-1 Falu BS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Falu BS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 44%, draw 27%, Falu BS 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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