Genoa U20 1-0 Roma U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/2.34
+44% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Roma U20
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2025 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-2 HT 0-2 Roma U20 Roma U20 İTAPŞ1
24.11.2024 Roma U20 Roma U20 2-0 HT 1-0 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Roma U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 nicked a narrow win over Roma U20 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Roma U20 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roma U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Genoa U20 and 2.00 for Roma U20.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Roma U20?

Genoa U20 1-0 Roma U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Roma U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 25%, draw 21%, Roma U20 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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