Sassuolo U20 3-2 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
29%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.58
-29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Cagliari U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 İTAPŞ1
19.10.2024 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 3-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo U20 Sassuolo U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo U20 squeezed past Cagliari U20 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo U20 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cagliari U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo U20 and 2.50 for Cagliari U20.

What was the final score of Sassuolo U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Sassuolo U20 3-2 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo U20 52%, draw 29%, Cagliari U20 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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