Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.55/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.80
+9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.6 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.39 xG 0.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
34 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 0-1 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
05.10.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1-0
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.98 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren edged past Lokeren-Temse 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 55% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 45%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.98 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Waasland-Beveren's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 0.50 for Lokeren-Temse.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Lokeren-Temse?

Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 59%, draw 23%, Lokeren-Temse 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
21 Sep 2025
17:00 Kortrijk vs Club Brugge II Analysis →