Siroki Brijeg 1-0 Zeljeznicar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.15/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.19
+0% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Zeljeznicar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-0 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSK
02.04.2025 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 3-0 HT 2-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSK
03.11.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-3 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
03.08.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
23.04.2024 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
26.02.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1-0
AWAY Zeljeznicar
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg squeezed past Zeljeznicar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Siroki Brijeg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 54% of the ball to Zeljeznicar's 46%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 0.83 for Zeljeznicar.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar?

Siroki Brijeg 1-0 Zeljeznicar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zeljeznicar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 35%, draw 25%, Zeljeznicar 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zeljeznicar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zeljeznicar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
21 Sep 2025
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