Zeljeznicar 1-0 Siroki Brijeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.2pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeljeznicar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.56/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.67
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeljeznicar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2024 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
02.10.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 2-1 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
22.04.2023 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
15.10.2022 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar BOSN
31.07.2022 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 1-1 HT 1-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
22.05.2022 Zeljeznicar Zeljeznicar 0-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeljeznicar
1-0
AWAY Siroki Brijeg
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zeljeznicar vs Siroki Brijeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeljeznicar nicked a narrow win over Siroki Brijeg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zeljeznicar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zeljeznicar had 57% of the ball to Siroki Brijeg's 43%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zeljeznicar and 0.83 for Siroki Brijeg.

What was the final score of Zeljeznicar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Zeljeznicar 1-0 Siroki Brijeg in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeljeznicar vs Siroki Brijeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeljeznicar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zeljeznicar 53%, draw 27%, Siroki Brijeg 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeljeznicar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zeljeznicar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
23 Apr 2024
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