Velez Mostar 1-0 Sloga Doboj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.1pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.7pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sloga Doboj EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.06
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sloga Doboj
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
23.09.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 4-2 HT 2-1 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj BOSN
02.04.2023 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj 0-2 HT 0-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
15.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 4-0 HT 2-0 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj BOSK
01.03.2023 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj 0-3 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
19.11.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-2 HT 1-1 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Mostar
1-0
AWAY Sloga Doboj
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Sloga Doboj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar nicked a narrow win over Sloga Doboj 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Velez Mostar had 53% of the ball to Sloga Doboj's 47%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 0.67 for Sloga Doboj.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Sloga Doboj?

Velez Mostar 1-0 Sloga Doboj in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Sloga Doboj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 55%, draw 27%, Sloga Doboj 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
23 Apr 2024
17:00 Igman Konjic vs GOSK Gabela Analysis →
21:30 Zeljeznicar vs Siroki Brijeg Analysis →