Baroka 1-1 Casric Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

Baroka
1-1 HT 1-0
Casric Stars
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Baroka vs Casric Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v Casric Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.78/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.00
+63% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Baroka vs Casric Stars Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Casric Stars
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.04.2025 Casric Stars Casric Stars 1-1 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
06.10.2024 Baroka Baroka 0-0 HT 0-0 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
29.09.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
05.02.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 2-1 HT 1-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
09.11.2022 Baroka Baroka 1-2 HT 1-2 Casric Stars Casric Stars GAF1
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Casric Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka and Casric Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casric Stars led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Baroka and 1.20 for Casric Stars.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Casric Stars?

Baroka 1-1 Casric Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Casric Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casric Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Baroka 31%, draw 32%, Casric Stars 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casric Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casric Stars) ✓ Under 2.5
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