Mokpo City 1-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
0.69/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.11
-40% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
4 Corners 4
23.05.2025 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
30.03.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
06.05.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
24.09.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.05.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen edged past Mokpo City 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Ulsan Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mokpo City and 0.33 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Mokpo City 1-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 31%, draw 31%, Ulsan Citizen 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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