Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 21 Sep 2025

Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-3 HT 1-2
AZ (K)
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
73%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
13%
-2.5pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.4pp
73%
Away Win
70%
+2.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) v AZ (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -68%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
244 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 16.0
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY AZ (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
152 Passes 433
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.04.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1
19.10.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
28.01.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 AZ (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-3
AWAY AZ (K)
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
167 Passes 417
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) beat Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 33% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 67%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AZ (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 3.00 for AZ (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 11%, draw 17%, AZ (K) 73%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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