21/09/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Al Shorta vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
32%
Draw
27%
31%
Away Win
22%
51%
Under 2.5
57%
49%
Over 2.5
43%
59%
BTTS Yes
46%
41%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shorta v Duhok — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Shorta
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 25%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+33% /
+33%
1.98/0.51
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.05/1.03
+64%
/
+104%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+98%
/
+18%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
347 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
253 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Shorta vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Shorta beat Duhok 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Al Shorta made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Shorta vs Duhok?
Al Shorta 2-0 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shorta vs Duhok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Shorta 37%, draw 32%, Duhok 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Shorta)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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IRAK
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21 Sep 2025