Al Zawraa 1-1 Al Talaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 25%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.36
-19% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Talaba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.03.2025 Al Talaba Al Talaba 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
06.03.2024 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 1-1 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa and Al Talaba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Zawraa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Zawraa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Zawraa and 1.00 for Al Talaba.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba?

Al Zawraa 1-1 Al Talaba in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Al Talaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 51%, draw 28%, Al Talaba 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Zawraa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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