Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.45
6+ Goals
7%
24.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.32/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.05
-19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
25.08.2025 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
23.11.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRANK
01.06.2024 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
30.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
05.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
13.02.2023 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Paykan Qazvin shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Esteghlal Khuzestan carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.67 for Paykan Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 55%, draw 23%, Paykan Qazvin 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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