Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
01.06.2024 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
30.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
05.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
13.02.2023 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
11.01.2023 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANK
06.09.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paykan Qazvin nicked a narrow win over Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.50 for Paykan Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 52%, draw 25%, Paykan Qazvin 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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