Sanat Naft 1-0 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.02
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.15 — our 42% vs market 40.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
11.05.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
08.12.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-2 HT 1-2 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.01.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 3-1 HT 2-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
19.08.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
14.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-1 HT 1-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
29.12.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 3-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft squeezed past Aluminium Arak 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Sanat Naft found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sanat Naft and 1.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak?

Sanat Naft 1-0 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 39%, draw 33%, Aluminium Arak 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanat Naft), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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