Augsdaugava 0-1 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

Augsdaugava
0-1 HT 0-0
Tukums II
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Augsdaugava vs Tukums II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
30%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Augsdaugava v Tukums II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 46%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.98/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.80
+97% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +70%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Augsdaugava vs Tukums II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsdaugava
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tukums II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Tukums II Tukums II 3-1 HT 1-0 Augsdaugava LET1
POST-MATCH Augsdaugava vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II nicked a narrow win over Augsdaugava 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tukums II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Augsdaugava vs Tukums II?

Augsdaugava 0-1 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsdaugava vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Augsdaugava 31%, draw 20%, Tukums II 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tukums II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tukums II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
21 Sep 2025
17:00 Rezekne / BJSS vs Skanste Analysis →