Niger Tornadoes 4-2 Ikorodu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.09/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.51
-17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +136%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
275 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ikorodu City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2025 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 3-0 HT 0-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
23.11.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
4-2
AWAY Ikorodu City
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes beat Ikorodu City 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 46% of the ball to Ikorodu City's 54%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ikorodu City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 1.50 for Ikorodu City.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Niger Tornadoes 4-2 Ikorodu City in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Ikorodu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 41%, draw 30%, Ikorodu City 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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