CFR Cluj 1-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 24% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.77/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.48
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
460 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.2 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.88 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
345 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-4 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
28.09.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-3 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
25.11.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
21.07.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-3 HT 1-2 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
02.03.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
10.10.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
1-1
AWAY UTA Arad
1.10 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
359 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj and UTA Arad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CFR Cluj at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 55% of the ball to UTA Arad's 45%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CFR Cluj and 1.17 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad?

CFR Cluj 1-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 52%, draw 24%, UTA Arad 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CFR Cluj), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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