CFR Cluj 1-3 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.93/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.58
+10% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.0 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-3D-0L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 Passes 236
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
21.07.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-3 HT 1-2 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
02.03.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
10.10.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
08.02.2022 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
26.09.2021 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
1-3
AWAY UTA Arad
1.41 xG 0.62
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 1
395 Passes 163
75% Pass Accuracy 59%
31 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad got the better of CFR Cluj 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CFR Cluj at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 66% of the ball to UTA Arad's 34%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured CFR Cluj.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CFR Cluj and 0.50 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad?

CFR Cluj 1-3 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 58%, draw 20%, UTA Arad 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CFR Cluj), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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