CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Universitatea Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
7%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.28
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.48 xG 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
28.01.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
04.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
03.09.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
23.03.2015 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
01.09.2014 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 2-0 HT 2-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1-0
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
0.25 xG 0.49
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
138 Passes 414
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi nicked a narrow win over Universitatea Cluj 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Cluj at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 31% of the ball to Universitatea Cluj's 69%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.25 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSMS Iaşi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 0.50 for Universitatea Cluj.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Cluj?

CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Universitatea Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Universitatea Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 31%, draw 28%, Universitatea Cluj 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitatea Cluj), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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