Spartak Trnava 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
9%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.72/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.09
-18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.8 Crosses 13.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.90 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
367 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 3-1 HT 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
04.08.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
06.03.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
17.12.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
16.09.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 3-4 HT 1-4 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
24.11.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 4-1 HT 3-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
0-1
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
3.12 xG 0.25
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 4
409 Passes 150
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
46 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce squeezed past Spartak Trnava 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Spartak Trnava carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 67% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 33%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 3.12 to 0.25 — on chances, Spartak Trnava could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Trnava had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.83 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Spartak Trnava 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 65%, draw 19%, Zemplin Michalovce 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
21 Sep 2025
18:00 KFC Komarno vs Zilina Analysis →