Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.11
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.10
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.09.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
22.04.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
22.10.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
02.04.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
13.11.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-2
AWAY Chelmsford City
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and Chelmsford City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 54% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 46%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 37%, draw 24%, Chelmsford City 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelmsford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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