Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

Nottingham Forest
1-0 HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.62
Over
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.56
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.63
6+
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.33
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
8%
6.03
X/X
11%
4.0
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.73
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace The Market 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.15
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.5 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
320 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
07.10.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
28.05.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
12.11.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
19.07.2019 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
29.12.2012 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-0
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.76 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
362 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest edged past Crystal Palace 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 50% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 50%, shots finished 20-20, expected goals 1.76 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 0.67 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 41%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →