Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.71
X/2
16%
6.42
X/X
12%
4.26
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.84
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.16
+46% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.2 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 492
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
28.05.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
12.11.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
19.07.2019 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace HAZ
29.12.2012 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNCL
18.09.2012 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.92 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
461 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 58% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.92 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 0.67 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 40%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Under 2.5
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