Aston Villa 2-0 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

Aston Villa
2-0 HT 1-0
Wolverhampton
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
15%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.1
X/1
14%
3.81
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
12%
6.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
2/2
11%
8.53
2/X
7%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.41/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
+28% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
478 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
15.0 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
356 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
06.05.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
04.01.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
02.04.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 2-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
16.10.2021 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-3 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
06.03.2021 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Aston Villa 2-0 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
2-0
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.98 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 384
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa got the better of Wolverhampton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa had 48% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wolverhampton.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aston Villa and 1.33 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton?

Aston Villa 2-0 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 48%, draw 25%, Wolverhampton 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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