Tottenham 2-1 Luton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.0
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.9
2-3 Goals
32%
2.65
4-5 Goals
34%
2.31
6+ Goals
19%
3.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
13%
3.86
X/2
5%
24.0
X/X
6%
12.3
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
17.3
2/2
6%
14.75
2/X
6%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.3 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.6pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Luton Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.88/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.65
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
490 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.3 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Luton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.96 xG 0.76
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
473 Passes 170
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Luton Town Luton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
2-1
AWAY Luton Town
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
517 Passes 177
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Luton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham edged past Luton Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 70% of the ball to Luton Town's 30%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Luton Town?

Tottenham 2-1 Luton Town in the England - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Luton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 67%, draw 17%, Luton Town 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
30 Mar 2024
15:30 Newcastle United vs West Ham United Analysis →
18:00 Sheffield United vs Fulham Analysis →
18:00 Chelsea vs Burnley Analysis →
18:00 Bournemouth vs Everton Analysis →
18:00 Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace Analysis →
20:30 Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Analysis →