Bournemouth 2-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 27% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.92
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.04
X/2
11%
6.73
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.37
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.34/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.37
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.2 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Everton
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
28.05.2023 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
12.11.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
08.11.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNLK
26.07.2020 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
15.09.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
2-1
AWAY Everton
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
260 Passes 287
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth edged past Everton 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Bournemouth made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bournemouth had 49% of the ball to Everton's 51%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bournemouth and 1.17 for Everton.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Everton?

Bournemouth 2-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 40%, draw 26%, Everton 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Under 2.5
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